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ENG England - League 1 · Match ·

Bradford vs Peterborough

Archived pre-match prediction

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger43%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger28%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger43% selection probability
Projected score1–1BradfordPeterborough
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
43% / 29% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Peterborough win (28.5%)Dubbelchans1X71.5%1.40
Över 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
2.55 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.6 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Bradford win43%2.33
Oavgjort29%3.45
Peterborough win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bradford1.50

Hemma share of expected goals 58.8%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 47% · Under 53%

Peterborough1.05

Borta share of expected goals 41.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Bradford

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Peterborough

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.50
Expected goals
1.05
BradfordPeterborough
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bradford signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Peterborough signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Bradford vs Peterborough FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bradford vunnen 43%,Oavgjort 29%,Peterborough vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Över 2.5 47% · Current selection Under