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NOR Norge - Division 1 · Match ·

Moss vs Sogndal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–23.89 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger43%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger33%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger43% selection probability
Projected score2–2MossSogndal
Expected goals3.89Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över75% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa74% for the selected side
Expected corners11.6Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
43% / 25% / 33%MatchresultatHemmaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Dubbelchans1275.5%1.32
Över 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Över75%1.33
Ja 74% · Nej 26%Båda lagen gör målJa74%1.35
3.89 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
11.6 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.7%Largest probability gapSogndal winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Moss win43%2.332.1543.2%-0.2 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.7524.8%+0.2 pp
Sogndal win33%3.032.9032%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Moss1.93

Hemma share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals3.89Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 75% · Under 25%

Sogndal1.96

Borta share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 74% · Nej 26%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Moss

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Sogndal

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
33%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.93
Expected goals
1.96
MossSogndal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Moss signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sogndal signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Moss vs Sogndal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Moss vunnen 43%,Oavgjort 25%,Sogndal vunnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.89 · Över 2.5 75% · Current selection Över