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NOR Norge - Division 1 · Match ·

Strömsgodset vs Hödd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–14.04 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger77%
Oavgjort15%
Bortaseger8%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 77% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger77% selection probability
Projected score3–1StrömsgodsetHödd
Expected goals4.04Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över77% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.6Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
77% / 15% / 8%MatchresultatHemmaseger77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hödd win (8%)Dubbelchans1X92%1.09
Över 77% · Under 23%Goals 2.5Över77%1.30
Ja 64% · Nej 36%Båda lagen gör målJa64%1.56
4.04 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
11.6 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.7%Largest probability gapStrömsgodset winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Strömsgodset win77%1.301.2077.4%-0.4 pp
Oavgjort15%6.676.2514.9%+0.1 pp
Hödd win8%12.5012.007.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Strömsgodset2.92

Hemma share of expected goals 72.3%

Total expected goals4.04Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 77% · Under 23%

Hödd1.12

Borta share of expected goals 27.7%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nej 36%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Strömsgodset

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Hödd

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
77%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
8%
7
Points from supplied form
12
2.92
Expected goals
1.12
StrömsgodsetHödd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Strömsgodset signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hödd signalBorta matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Strömsgodset vs Hödd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–1 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Strömsgodset vunnen 77%,Oavgjort 15%,Hödd vunnen 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.04 · Över 2.5 77% · Current selection Över