Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 25% / 33%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Double chance1275.5%1.32
Over 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Over75%1.33
Yes 74% · No 26%Both teams scoreYes74%1.35
3.89 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
11.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.7%Largest probability gapSogndal winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Moss win43%2.332.1543.2%-0.2 pp
Draw25%4.003.7524.8%+0.2 pp
Sogndal win33%3.032.9032%+1.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 49.6%
Total expected goals3.89Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 75% · Under 25%
Away share of expected goals 50.4%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 74% · No 26%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchMoss
LDLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchSogndal
WLLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Win probability excluding draw
33%1
Points from supplied form
61.93
Expected goals
1.96MossSogndal
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Moss vs Sogndal FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Moss win 43%，Draw 25%，Sogndal win 33%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.89 · Over 2.5 75% · Current selection Over。