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NOR Norway Division 2 Group 2 · Match ·

Junkeren vs Follo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.63 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger53%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger25%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger53% selection probability
Projected score2–1JunkerenFollo
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
53% / 23% / 25%MatchresultatHemmaseger53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Dubbelchans1277.4%1.29
Över 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
2.63 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Junkeren win53%1.891.7052.7%+0.3 pp
Oavgjort23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Follo win25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Junkeren1.64

Hemma share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 49% · Under 51%

Follo0.99

Borta share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Junkeren

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Follo

0.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Poäng0

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
25%
7
Points from supplied form
0
1.64
Expected goals
0.99
JunkerenFollo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Junkeren signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Follo signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Junkeren vs Follo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Junkeren vunnen 53%,Oavgjort 23%,Follo vunnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Över 2.5 49% · Current selection Under