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FIN Finland Kakkonen Group B · Match ·

HJS vs FC Ilves II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–23.53 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger42%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger36%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger42% selection probability
Projected score2–2HJSFC Ilves II
Expected goals3.53Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över69% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa69% for the selected side
Expected corners11.6Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
42% / 22% / 36%MatchresultatHemmaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Dubbelchans1277.6%1.29
Över 69% · Under 31%Goals 2.5Över69%1.45
Ja 69% · Nej 31%Båda lagen gör målJa69%1.45
3.53 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
11.6 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapFC Ilves II winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
HJS win42%2.382.1042.6%-0.6 pp
Oavgjort22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
FC Ilves II win36%2.782.5535.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HJS1.68

Hemma share of expected goals 47.6%

Total expected goals3.53Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 69% · Under 31%

FC Ilves II1.85

Borta share of expected goals 52.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 69% · Nej 31%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

HJS

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FC Ilves II

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
36%
10
Points from supplied form
8
1.68
Expected goals
1.85
HJSFC Ilves II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HJS signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Ilves II signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

HJS vs FC Ilves II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HJS vunnen 42%,Oavgjort 22%,FC Ilves II vunnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.53 · Över 2.5 69% · Current selection Över