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ARG Argentina - Primera C Metropolitana · Match ·

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs JJ Urquiza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–01.31 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger40%
Oavgjort35%
Bortaseger25%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger40% selection probability
Projected score1–0Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornJJ Urquiza
Expected goals1.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under85% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej81% for the selected side
Expected corners7.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
40% / 35% / 25%MatchresultatHemmaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JJ Urquiza win (25.3%)Dubbelchans1X74.7%1.34
Över 15% · Under 85%Goals 2.5Under85%1.18
Ja 19% · Nej 81%Båda lagen gör målNej81%1.23
1.31 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–0
7.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapJJ Urquiza winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win40%2.502.3538.5%+1.5 pp
Oavgjort35%2.862.6034.8%+0.2 pp
JJ Urquiza win25%4.003.4026.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0.96

Hemma share of expected goals 73.3%

Total expected goals1.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 15% · Under 85%

JJ Urquiza0.35

Borta share of expected goals 26.7%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 19% · Nej 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

JJ Urquiza

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Poäng7

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
25%
7
Points from supplied form
7
0.96
Expected goals
0.35
Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornJJ Urquiza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JJ Urquiza signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs JJ Urquiza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–0 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vunnen 40%,Oavgjort 35%,JJ Urquiza vunnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.31 · Över 2.5 15% · Current selection Under