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ARG Argentina - Primera C · Partido ·

Club Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs JJ Urquiza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–01.31 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local47%
Empate32%
Victoria visitante21%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local47% selection probability
Projected score1–0Club Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornJJ Urquiza
Expected goals1.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de85% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo81% for the selected side
Expected corners7.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
47% / 32% / 21%Resultado del partidoVictoria local47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JJ Urquiza win (21.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X78.8%1.27
Más de 15% · Menos de 85%Goals 2.5Menos de85%1.18
Sí 19% · No 81%Ambos equipos marcanNo81%1.23
1.31 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–0
7.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapJJ Urquiza winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win47%2.131.9546.5%+0.5 pp
Empate32%3.132.8831.5%+0.5 pp
JJ Urquiza win21%4.764.1022.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0.96

Local share of expected goals 73.3%

Total expected goals1.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 15% · Menos de 85%

JJ Urquiza0.35

Visitante share of expected goals 26.7%

Projected score1–0BTTS split 19% · No 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Club Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

JJ Urquiza

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Puntos7

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Ganado probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
7
0.96
Expected goals
0.35
Club Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornJJ Urquiza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JJ Urquiza signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Club Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs JJ Urquiza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–0 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn ganada 47%,Empate 32%,JJ Urquiza ganada 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.31 · Más de 2.5 15% · Current selection Menos de