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ARG Argentina - Primera C Metropolitana · Match ·

Fenix vs Central Ballester

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.70 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger40%
Oavgjort33%
Bortaseger26%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger40% selection probability
Projected score1–1FenixCentral Ballester
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under76% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej67% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
40% / 33% / 26%MatchresultatHemmaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Central Ballester win (26.1%)Dubbelchans1X73.9%1.35
Över 24% · Under 76%Goals 2.5Under76%1.32
Ja 33% · Nej 67%Båda lagen gör målNej67%1.49
1.70 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
7.9 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFenix winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fenix win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp
Oavgjort33%3.032.7033.3%-0.3 pp
Central Ballester win26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fenix0.89

Hemma share of expected goals 52.4%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 24% · Under 76%

Central Ballester0.81

Borta share of expected goals 47.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nej 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Fenix

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Central Ballester

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
26%
8
Points from supplied form
7
0.89
Expected goals
0.81
FenixCentral Ballester
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fenix signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Central Ballester signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Fenix vs Central Ballester FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fenix vunnen 40%,Oavgjort 33%,Central Ballester vunnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Över 2.5 24% · Current selection Under