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EUR UEFA Europa League - Kval · Match ·

Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger65%
Oavgjort20%
Bortaseger15%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 65% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger65% selection probability
Projected score2–1AnderlechtKairat Almaty
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över52% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
65% / 20% / 15%MatchresultatHemmaseger65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kairat Almaty win (15.3%)Dubbelchans1X84.7%1.18
Över 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Över52%1.92
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
2.72 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin8.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Anderlecht win65%1.541.3866.5%
Oavgjort20%5.004.7519.3%
Kairat Almaty win15%6.676.5014.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Anderlecht1.82

Hemma share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 52% · Under 48%

Kairat Almaty0.90

Borta share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Anderlecht

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Kairat Almaty

0.00pts / match
Spelade1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Poäng0

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
0
1.82
Expected goals
0.90
AnderlechtKairat Almaty
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Anderlecht signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kairat Almaty signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Anderlecht vunnen 65%,Oavgjort 20%,Kairat Almaty vunnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Över 2.5 52% · Current selection Över