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EUR UEFA Europa League - Kval · Match ·

FC Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia Bialystok

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger29%
Baseline forecastHemmasegerTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Iberia 1999Jagiellonia Bialystok
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 26% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Dubbelchans1274.4%1.34
Över 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
2.65 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
FC Iberia 1999 win46%2.17
Oavgjort26%3.85
Jagiellonia Bialystok win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Iberia 19991.51

Hemma share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 49% · Under 51%

Jagiellonia Bialystok1.14

Borta share of expected goals 43%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FC Iberia 1999

0.67pts / match
Spelade3Wins0Drawn2Losses1Poäng2

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/3

Borta-context · form sequence

Jagiellonia Bialystok

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
2
Points from supplied form
10
1.51
Expected goals
1.14
FC Iberia 1999Jagiellonia Bialystok
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Iberia 1999 signalHemma failed to score: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jagiellonia Bialystok signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FC Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia Bialystok FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Iberia 1999 vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 26%,Jagiellonia Bialystok vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Över 2.5 49% · Current selection Under