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EUR UEFA Europa League - Kval · Match ·

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Besiktas

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.62 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger14%
Oavgjort21%
Bortaseger64%
Market-based forecastBortasegerTier B · 64% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger64% selection probability
Projected score1–2FK Kauno ZalgirisBesiktas
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
14% / 21% / 64%MatchresultatBortaseger64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kauno Zalgiris win (14.3%)DubbelchansX285.7%1.17
Över 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Ja 52% · Nej 48%Båda lagen gör målJa52%1.92
2.62 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.9 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kauno Zalgiris win14%7.147.5012%
Oavgjort21%4.764.5020.1%
Besiktas win64%1.561.3367.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kauno Zalgiris0.94

Hemma share of expected goals 35.9%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 50% · Under 50%

Besiktas1.68

Borta share of expected goals 64.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 52% · Nej 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris

0.75pts / match
Spelade4Wins1Drawn0Losses3Poäng3

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/4

Borta-context · form sequence

Besiktas

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
64%
3
Points from supplied form
12
0.94
Expected goals
1.68
FK Kauno ZalgirisBesiktas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kauno Zalgiris signalHemma failed to score: 3/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Besiktas signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Besiktas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kauno Zalgiris vunnen 14%,Oavgjort 21%,Besiktas vunnen 64%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Över 2.5 50% · Current selection Under