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PRT Portugalsko - Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Braga vs Gil Vicente

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.85 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich59%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostí17%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich59% selection probability
Projected score2–1BragaGil Vicente
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac54% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
59% / 25% / 17%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gil Vicente win (16.6%)Dvojitá šanca1X83.4%1.20
Viac 54% · Menej 46%Goals 2.5Viac54%1.85
Áno 54% · Nie 46%Oba tímy skórujúÁno54%1.85
2.85 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.1 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapGil Vicente winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Braga win59%1.691.6058.7%+0.3 pp
Remíza25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
Gil Vicente win17%5.885.7516.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Braga1.85

Domáci share of expected goals 64.9%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 54% · Menej 46%

Gil Vicente1.00

Hostia share of expected goals 35.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 54% · Nie 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Braga

2.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Gil Vicente

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Výhra probability excluding draw
17%
11
Points from supplied form
7
1.85
Expected goals
1.00
BragaGil Vicente
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Braga signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gil Vicente signalDomáci clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Braga vs Gil Vicente FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Braga výhra 59%,Remíza 25%,Gil Vicente výhra 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Viac 2.5 54% · Current selection Viac