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PRT Portugalia - Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Braga vs Gil Vicente

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.85 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde59%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți17%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde59% selection probability
Projected score2–1BragaGil Vicente
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste54% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
59% / 25% / 17%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gil Vicente win (16.6%)Șansă dublă1X83.4%1.20
Peste 54% · Sub 46%Goals 2.5Peste54%1.85
Da 54% · Nu 46%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa54%1.85
2.85 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapGil Vicente winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Braga win59%1.691.6058.7%+0.3 pp
Egal25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
Gil Vicente win17%5.885.7516.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Braga1.85

Gazde share of expected goals 64.9%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 54% · Sub 46%

Gil Vicente1.00

Oaspeți share of expected goals 35.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 54% · Nu 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Braga

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Gil Vicente

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Câștig probability excluding draw
17%
11
Points from supplied form
7
1.85
Expected goals
1.00
BragaGil Vicente
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Braga signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gil Vicente signalGazde clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Braga vs Gil Vicente FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Braga câștig 59%,Egal 25%,Gil Vicente câștig 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Peste 2.5 54% · Current selection Peste