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PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Braga vs Gil Vicente

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.85 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile59%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur17%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile59% selection probability
Projected score2–1BragaGil Vicente
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
59% / 25% / 17%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gil Vicente win (16.6%)Double chance1X83.4%1.20
Plus de 54% · Moins de 46%Goals 2.5Plus de54%1.85
Oui 54% · Non 46%Les deux équipes marquentOui54%1.85
2.85 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapGil Vicente winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Braga win59%1.691.6058.7%+0.3 pp
Nul25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
Gil Vicente win17%5.885.7516.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Braga1.85

Domicile share of expected goals 64.9%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 54% · Moins de 46%

Gil Vicente1.00

Extérieur share of expected goals 35.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 54% · Non 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Braga

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Gil Vicente

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gagné probability excluding draw
17%
11
Points from supplied form
7
1.85
Expected goals
1.00
BragaGil Vicente
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Braga signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gil Vicente signalDomicile clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Braga vs Gil Vicente FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Braga victoire 59%,Nul 25%,Gil Vicente victoire 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Plus de 2.5 54% · Current selection Plus de