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ENG Anglicko - EFL Cup · Zápas ·

Middlesbrough vs Wrexham

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich56%
Remíza24%
Výhra hostí20%
Market-based forecastVýhra domácichTier B · 56% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich56% selection probability
Projected score2–1MiddlesbroughWrexham
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac51% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
56% / 24% / 20%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wrexham win (20.1%)Dvojitá šanca1X79.9%1.25
Viac 51% · Menej 49%Goals 2.5Viac51%1.96
Áno 55% · Nie 45%Oba tímy skórujúÁno55%1.82
2.71 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.8 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimŽiadny
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Middlesbrough win56%1.791.6257.5%
Remíza24%4.173.9023.9%
Wrexham win20%5.005.0018.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Middlesbrough1.65

Domáci share of expected goals 60.9%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 51% · Menej 49%

Wrexham1.06

Hostia share of expected goals 39.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 55% · Nie 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Middlesbrough

0.50pts / match
Odohrané2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Body1

SignalHostia matches under 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Wrexham

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalHostia clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Výhra probability excluding draw
20%
1
Points from supplied form
7
1.65
Expected goals
1.06
MiddlesbroughWrexham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Middlesbrough signalHostia matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wrexham signalHostia clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Middlesbrough vs Wrexham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Middlesbrough výhra 56%,Remíza 24%,Wrexham výhra 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Viac 2.5 51% · Current selection Viac