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ENG Engeland - EFL Cup · Final ·

Middlesbrough vs Wrexham

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–0Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst56%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst20%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 56% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst56% selection probability
Projected score2–1MiddlesbroughWrexham
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
56% / 24% / 20%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wrexham win (20.1%)Dubbele Kans1X79.9%1.25
Boven 51% · Onder 49%Goals 2.5Boven51%1.96
Ja 55% · Nee 45%Beide teams scorenJa55%1.82
2.71 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Middlesbrough win56%1.791.6257.5%
Gelijkspel24%4.173.9023.9%
Wrexham win20%5.005.0018.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Middlesbrough1.65

Thuis share of expected goals 60.9%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 51% · Onder 49%

Wrexham1.06

Uit share of expected goals 39.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nee 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Middlesbrough

0.50pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Punten1

SignalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Wrexham

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalUit clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
20%
1
Points from supplied form
7
1.65
Expected goals
1.06
MiddlesbroughWrexham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Middlesbrough signalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wrexham signalUit clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Middlesbrough vs Wrexham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Middlesbrough gewonnen 56%,Gelijkspel 24%,Wrexham gewonnen 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Boven 2.5 51% · Current selection Boven