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ENG England - EFL Cup · Final ·

Middlesbrough vs Wrexham

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score1–0Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg56%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg20%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 56% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg56% selection probability
Projected score2–1MiddlesbroughWrexham
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
56% / 24% / 20%SpielergebnisHeimsieg56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wrexham win (20.1%)Doppelte Chance1X79.9%1.25
Über 51% · Unter 49%Goals 2.5Über51%1.96
Ja 55% · Nein 45%Beide Teams treffenJa55%1.82
2.71 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Middlesbrough win56%1.791.6257.5%
Unentschieden24%4.173.9023.9%
Wrexham win20%5.005.0018.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Middlesbrough1.65

Heim share of expected goals 60.9%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 51% · Unter 49%

Wrexham1.06

Auswärts share of expected goals 39.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nein 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Middlesbrough

0.50pts / match
Gespielt2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Punkte1

SignalAuswärts matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Wrexham

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalAuswärts clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
20%
1
Points from supplied form
7
1.65
Expected goals
1.06
MiddlesbroughWrexham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Middlesbrough signalAuswärts matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wrexham signalAuswärts clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Middlesbrough vs Wrexham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Middlesbrough Gewinn 56%,Unentschieden 24%,Wrexham Gewinn 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Über 2.5 51% · Current selection Über