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DEU Nemecko - Bundesliga II · Round 1 ·

Norimberg vs Dynamo Drážďany

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich41%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostí31%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich41% selection probability
Projected score2–1NorimbergDynamo Drážďany
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac55% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
41% / 28% / 31%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Dvojitá šanca1272.2%1.39
Viac 55% · Menej 45%Goals 2.5Viac55%1.82
Áno 58% · Nie 42%Oba tímy skórujúÁno58%1.72
2.90 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
10.0 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Norimberg win41%2.44
Remíza28%3.57
Dynamo Drážďany win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Norimberg1.61

Domáci share of expected goals 55.5%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 55% · Menej 45%

Dynamo Drážďany1.29

Hostia share of expected goals 44.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 58% · Nie 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Norimberg

2.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Dynamo Drážďany

2.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Výhra probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
12
1.61
Expected goals
1.29
NorimbergDynamo Drážďany
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Norimberg signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dynamo Drážďany signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Norimberg vs Dynamo Drážďany FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Norimberg výhra 41%,Remíza 28%,Dynamo Drážďany výhra 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Viac 2.5 55% · Current selection Viac