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DEU Germania - Bundesliga II · Round 1 ·

Norimberga vs Dinamo Dresda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa41%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite31%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa41% selection probability
Projected score2–1NorimbergaDinamo Dresda
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra55% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
41% / 28% / 31%Esito partitaVittoria casa41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Doppia Chance1272.2%1.39
Sopra 55% · Sotto 45%Goals 2.5Sopra55%1.82
Sì 58% · No 42%Entrambe le squadre segnano58%1.72
2.90 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Norimberga win41%2.44
Pareggio28%3.57
Dinamo Dresda win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Norimberga1.61

Casa share of expected goals 55.5%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 55% · Sotto 45%

Dinamo Dresda1.29

Trasferta share of expected goals 44.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Norimberga

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Dinamo Dresda

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vinta probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
12
1.61
Expected goals
1.29
NorimbergaDinamo Dresda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Norimberga signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dinamo Dresda signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Norimberga vs Dinamo Dresda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Norimberga vinta 41%,Pareggio 28%,Dinamo Dresda vinta 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Sopra 2.5 55% · Current selection Sopra