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ENG Anglicko - Southern Premier League South · Zápas ·

Basingstoke vs Evesham United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–23.62 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich35%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostí40%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí40% selection probability
Projected score2–2BasingstokeEvesham United
Expected goals3.62Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac70% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
35% / 26% / 40%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Dvojitá šanca1274.4%1.34
Viac 70% · Menej 30%Goals 2.5Viac70%1.43
Áno 70% · Nie 30%Oba tímy skórujúÁno70%1.43
3.62 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–2
8.8 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Basingstoke win35%2.86
Remíza26%3.85
Evesham United win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Basingstoke1.72

Domáci share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.62Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 70% · Menej 30%

Evesham United1.90

Hostia share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitÁno 70% · Nie 30%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Basingstoke

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Evesham United

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Výhra probability excluding draw
40%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.72
Expected goals
1.90
BasingstokeEvesham United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Basingstoke signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Evesham United signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Basingstoke vs Evesham United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Basingstoke výhra 35%,Remíza 26%,Evesham United výhra 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Viac 2.5 70% · Current selection Viac