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ENG Engeland - Southern Premier League South · Wedstrijd ·

Basingstoke vs Evesham United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.62 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst35%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst40%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst40% selection probability
Projected score2–2BasingstokeEvesham United
Expected goals3.62Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven70% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
35% / 26% / 40%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Dubbele Kans1274.4%1.34
Boven 70% · Onder 30%Goals 2.5Boven70%1.43
Ja 70% · Nee 30%Beide teams scorenJa70%1.43
3.62 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
8.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Basingstoke win35%2.86
Gelijkspel26%3.85
Evesham United win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Basingstoke1.72

Thuis share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.62Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 70% · Onder 30%

Evesham United1.90

Uit share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 70% · Nee 30%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Basingstoke

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Evesham United

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
40%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.72
Expected goals
1.90
BasingstokeEvesham United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Basingstoke signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Evesham United signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Basingstoke vs Evesham United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Basingstoke gewonnen 35%,Gelijkspel 26%,Evesham United gewonnen 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Boven 2.5 70% · Current selection Boven