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ENG England - Southern Premier League - South · Spiel ·

Basingstoke vs Evesham United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.62 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg35%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg40%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg40% selection probability
Projected score2–2BasingstokeEvesham United
Expected goals3.62Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über70% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
35% / 26% / 40%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Doppelte Chance1274.4%1.34
Über 70% · Unter 30%Goals 2.5Über70%1.43
Ja 70% · Nein 30%Beide Teams treffenJa70%1.43
3.62 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
8.8 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Basingstoke win35%2.86
Unentschieden26%3.85
Evesham United win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Basingstoke1.72

Heim share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.62Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 70% · Unter 30%

Evesham United1.90

Auswärts share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 70% · Nein 30%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Basingstoke

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Evesham United

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
40%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.72
Expected goals
1.90
BasingstokeEvesham United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Basingstoke signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Evesham United signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Basingstoke vs Evesham United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Basingstoke Gewinn 35%,Unentschieden 26%,Evesham United Gewinn 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Über 2.5 70% · Current selection Über