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ITA Италия - Коппа Италия · Final ·

Дженоа vs Асколи

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score4–1Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев64%
Ничья21%
Победа гостей15%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 64% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев64% selection probability
Projected score2–1ДженоаАсколи
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше50% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
64% / 21% / 15%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Асколи win (15%)Двойной шанс1X85%1.18
Больше 50% · Меньше 50%Goals 2.5Меньше50%2.00
Да 48% · Нет 52%Обе забьютНет52%1.92
2.66 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Дженоа win64%1.561.4564.7%
Ничья21%4.764.5020.9%
Асколи win15%6.676.5014.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Дженоа1.83

Хозяева share of expected goals 68.8%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 50% · Меньше 50%

Асколи0.83

Гости share of expected goals 31.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Нет 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Дженоа

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Асколи

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
15%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.83
Expected goals
0.83
ДженоаАсколи
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Дженоа signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Асколи signalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Дженоа vs Асколи FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Дженоа выигрыш 64%,Ничья 21%,Асколи выигрыш 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · ТБ 2.5 50% · Current selection Меньше