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ITA Италия - Коппа Италия · Final ·

Лацио vs Мантуя

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score0–2Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев71%
Ничья19%
Победа гостей10%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 71% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев71% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЛациоМантуя
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
71% / 19% / 10%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Мантуя win (10.3%)Двойной шанс1X89.7%1.11
Больше 51% · Меньше 49%Goals 2.5Больше51%1.96
Да 47% · Нет 53%Обе забьютНет53%1.89
2.70 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Лацио win71%1.411.3072.6%
Ничья19%5.265.2518%
Мантуя win10%10.0010.009.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Лацио1.95

Хозяева share of expected goals 72.2%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 51% · Меньше 49%

Мантуя0.75

Гости share of expected goals 27.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Нет 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Лацио

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Мантуя

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
10%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.95
Expected goals
0.75
ЛациоМантуя
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Лацио signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Мантуя signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Лацио vs Мантуя FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Лацио выигрыш 71%,Ничья 19%,Мантуя выигрыш 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · ТБ 2.5 51% · Current selection Больше