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ITA Coppa Italia · Fixture ·

Lazio vs Mantova

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.70 expected goals
Away form
Home win71%
Draw19%
Away win10%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 71% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win71% selection probability
Projected score2–1LazioMantova
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
71% / 19% / 10%Match resultHome win71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mantova win (10.3%)Double chance1X89.7%1.11
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.70 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lazio win71%1.411.3072.6%
Draw19%5.265.2518%
Mantova win10%10.0010.009.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lazio1.95

Home share of expected goals 72.2%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Mantova0.75

Away share of expected goals 27.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Lazio

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Mantova

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Win probability excluding draw
10%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.95
Expected goals
0.75
LazioMantova
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lazio signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mantova signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Lazio vs Mantova FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lazio win 71%,Draw 19%,Mantova win 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over