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ITA 意大利盃 · Final ·

熱拿亞 vs 阿士高尼

Prediction review

主隊 form
Final score4–1預測 2–1
客隊 form
主勝64%
21%
客勝15%
Market-based forecast主勝Tier B · 64% selection probability
Prediction 命中
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝64% selection probability
Projected score2–1熱拿亞阿士高尼
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.550% for the selected side
雙方進球52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
64% / 21% / 15%比賽結果主勝64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 阿士高尼 win (15%)雙重機會1X85%1.18
大 50% · 小 50%Goals 2.550%2.00
是 48% · 否 52%雙方進球52%1.92
2.66 total expected goals正確比分2–1
8.4 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claim
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
熱拿亞 win64%1.561.4564.7%
21%4.764.5020.9%
阿士高尼 win15%6.676.5014.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

熱拿亞1.83

主隊 share of expected goals 68.8%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 50% · 50%

阿士高尼0.83

客隊 share of expected goals 31.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

熱拿亞

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

客隊-context · form sequence

阿士高尼

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
贏 probability excluding draw
15%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.83
Expected goals
0.83
熱拿亞阿士高尼
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01熱拿亞 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02阿士高尼 signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

熱拿亞 vs 阿士高尼 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

熱拿亞 64%, 21%,阿士高尼 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · 大2.5 50% · Current selection