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LTU Литва - А-лига · Round 20 ·

ФК Джюгас Тельшяй vs Судува Мариямполе

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.22 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев29%
Ничья31%
Победа гостей40%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей40% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФК Джюгас ТельшяйСудува Мариямполе
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
29% / 31% / 40%Исход матчаПобеда гостей40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Джюгас Тельшяй win (29.4%)Двойной шансX270.6%1.42
Больше 38% · Меньше 62%Goals 2.5Меньше62%1.61
Да 45% · Нет 55%Обе забьютНет55%1.82
2.22 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.8 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ФК Джюгас Тельшяй win29%3.45
Ничья31%3.23
Судува Мариямполе win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Джюгас Тельшяй0.96

Хозяева share of expected goals 43.2%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 38% · Меньше 62%

Судува Мариямполе1.26

Гости share of expected goals 56.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Нет 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Джюгас Тельшяй

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Судува Мариямполе

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
40%
8
Points from supplied form
13
0.96
Expected goals
1.26
ФК Джюгас ТельшяйСудува Мариямполе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Джюгас Тельшяй signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Судува Мариямполе signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

ФК Джюгас Тельшяй vs Судува Мариямполе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Джюгас Тельшяй выигрыш 29%,Ничья 31%,Судува Мариямполе выигрыш 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · ТБ 2.5 38% · Current selection Меньше