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LTU Leedu A Lyga · Round 20 ·

FK Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–12.22 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit29%
Viik31%
Võõrsilvõit40%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit40% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Džiugas TelšiaiSuduva Marijampole
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla62% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
29% / 31% / 40%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Džiugas Telšiai win (29.4%)TopeltvõimalusX270.6%1.42
Üle 38% · Alla 62%Goals 2.5Alla62%1.61
Jah 45% · Ei 55%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi55%1.82
2.22 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
8.8 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
FK Džiugas Telšiai win29%3.45
Viik31%3.23
Suduva Marijampole win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Džiugas Telšiai0.96

Kodu share of expected goals 43.2%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 38% · Alla 62%

Suduva Marijampole1.26

Võõras share of expected goals 56.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 45% · Ei 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

FK Džiugas Telšiai

1.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punktid8

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Suduva Marijampole

2.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punktid13

SignalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Võit probability excluding draw
40%
8
Points from supplied form
13
0.96
Expected goals
1.26
FK Džiugas TelšiaiSuduva Marijampole
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Džiugas Telšiai signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Suduva Marijampole signalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

FK Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Džiugas Telšiai võit 29%,Viik 31%,Suduva Marijampole võit 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Üle 2.5 38% · Current selection Alla