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ITA Италия - Коппа Италия · Матч ·

Палермо vs Лечче

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев56%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей21%
Baseline forecastПобеда хозяевTier C · 56% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев56% selection probability
Projected score2–1ПалермоЛечче
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
56% / 24% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Лечче win (20.6%)Двойной шанс1X79.4%1.26
Больше 49% · Меньше 51%Goals 2.5Меньше51%1.96
Да 50% · Нет 50%Обе забьютНет50%2.00
2.65 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Палермо win56%1.79
Ничья24%4.17
Лечче win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Палермо1.71

Хозяева share of expected goals 64.5%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 49% · Меньше 51%

Лечче0.94

Гости share of expected goals 35.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Нет 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Палермо

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Лечче

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.71
Expected goals
0.94
ПалермоЛечче
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Палермо signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Лечче signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Палермо vs Лечче FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Палермо выигрыш 56%,Ничья 24%,Лечче выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · ТБ 2.5 49% · Current selection Меньше