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ITA Italia - Coppa Italia · Meci ·

Palermo vs Lecce

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde56%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți21%
Baseline forecastVictorie gazdeTier C · 56% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde56% selection probability
Projected score2–1PalermoLecce
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub51% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
56% / 24% / 21%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lecce win (20.6%)Șansă dublă1X79.4%1.26
Peste 49% · Sub 51%Goals 2.5Sub51%1.96
Da 50% · Nu 50%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu50%2.00
2.65 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Palermo win56%1.79
Egal24%4.17
Lecce win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Palermo1.71

Gazde share of expected goals 64.5%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 49% · Sub 51%

Lecce0.94

Oaspeți share of expected goals 35.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 50% · Nu 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Palermo

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Lecce

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Câștig probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.71
Expected goals
0.94
PalermoLecce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Palermo signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lecce signalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Palermo vs Lecce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Palermo câștig 56%,Egal 24%,Lecce câștig 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Peste 2.5 49% · Current selection Sub