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JPN Япония - Джей-лига - Кубок · Round 1 ·

Фукусима Юнайтед vs Каматамарэ Сануки

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев44%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей29%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Фукусима ЮнайтедКаматамарэ Сануки
Expected goals3.16Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
44% / 26% / 29%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Двойной шанс1274%1.35
Больше 61% · Меньше 39%Goals 2.5Больше61%1.64
Да 56% · Нет 44%Обе забьютДа56%1.79
3.16 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
11.0 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapКаматамарэ Сануки winDifference-1.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Фукусима Юнайтед win44%2.272.1042.7%+1.3 pp
Ничья26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
Каматамарэ Сануки win29%3.452.9030.9%-1.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Фукусима Юнайтед2.18

Хозяева share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals3.16Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 61% · Меньше 39%

Каматамарэ Сануки0.98

Гости share of expected goals 31%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Нет 44%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Фукусима Юнайтед

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Каматамарэ Сануки

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
29%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.18
Expected goals
0.98
Фукусима ЮнайтедКаматамарэ Сануки
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Фукусима Юнайтед signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Каматамарэ Сануки signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Фукусима Юнайтед vs Каматамарэ Сануки FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Фукусима Юнайтед выигрыш 44%,Ничья 26%,Каматамарэ Сануки выигрыш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · ТБ 2.5 61% · Current selection Больше