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JPN Japan J3-League · Fixture ·

Fukushima Utd vs Kamatamare Sanuki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw26%
Away win30%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Fukushima UtdKamatamare Sanuki
Expected goals3.16Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 26% / 30%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Double chance1274%1.35
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
3.16 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
11.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapFukushima Utd winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fukushima Utd win44%2.272.1042.7%+1.3 pp
Draw26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
Kamatamare Sanuki win30%3.332.9030.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fukushima Utd2.18

Home share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals3.16Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

Kamatamare Sanuki0.98

Away share of expected goals 31%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Fukushima Utd

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Kamatamare Sanuki

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
30%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.18
Expected goals
0.98
Fukushima UtdKamatamare Sanuki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fukushima Utd signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kamatamare Sanuki signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Fukushima Utd vs Kamatamare Sanuki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fukushima Utd win 44%,Draw 26%,Kamatamare Sanuki win 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over