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GEO Грузия - Эровнули лига · Round 20 ·

Динамо Батуми vs ФК Гагра

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.04 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев46%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей28%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Динамо БатумиФК Гагра
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше58% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
46% / 26% / 28%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Двойной шанс1273.9%1.35
Больше 58% · Меньше 42%Goals 2.5Больше58%1.72
Да 61% · Нет 39%Обе забьютДа61%1.64
3.04 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapФК Гагра winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Динамо Батуми win46%2.171.9146.7%-0.7 pp
Ничья26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
ФК Гагра win28%3.573.3027%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Динамо Батуми1.61

Хозяева share of expected goals 53%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 58% · Меньше 42%

ФК Гагра1.43

Гости share of expected goals 47%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 61% · Нет 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Динамо Батуми

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Гагра

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
28%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.61
Expected goals
1.43
Динамо БатумиФК Гагра
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Динамо Батуми signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Гагра signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Динамо Батуми vs ФК Гагра FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Динамо Батуми выигрыш 46%,Ничья 26%,ФК Гагра выигрыш 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · ТБ 2.5 58% · Current selection Больше