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NOR Норвегия - Дивизион 3 - Группа 2 · Матч ·

Мельхус vs Оркла

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев73%
Ничья15%
Победа гостей12%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев73% selection probability
Projected score2–1МельхусОркла
Expected goals3.19Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
73% / 15% / 12%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Оркла win (12.2%)Двойной шанс1X87.8%1.14
Больше 62% · Меньше 38%Goals 2.5Больше62%1.61
Да 56% · Нет 44%Обе забьютДа56%1.79
3.19 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.7 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapМельхус winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Мельхус win73%1.371.2273.6%-0.6 pp
Ничья15%6.676.2514.4%+0.6 pp
Оркла win12%8.337.5012%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Мельхус2.22

Хозяева share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals3.19Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 62% · Меньше 38%

Оркла0.97

Гости share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Нет 44%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Мельхус

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Оркла

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
12%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.22
Expected goals
0.97
МельхусОркла
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Мельхус signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Оркла signalГости unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Мельхус vs Оркла FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Мельхус выигрыш 73%,Ничья 15%,Оркла выигрыш 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · ТБ 2.5 62% · Current selection Больше