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NOR Norvegia - Divizia 3 - Grupa 2 · Meci ·

Melhus vs Orkla

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde73%
Egal15%
Victorie oaspeți12%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde73% selection probability
Projected score2–1MelhusOrkla
Expected goals3.19Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste62% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
73% / 15% / 12%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Orkla win (12.2%)Șansă dublă1X87.8%1.14
Peste 62% · Sub 38%Goals 2.5Peste62%1.61
Da 56% · Nu 44%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa56%1.79
3.19 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
10.7 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapMelhus winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Melhus win73%1.371.2273.6%-0.6 pp
Egal15%6.676.2514.4%+0.6 pp
Orkla win12%8.337.5012%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Melhus2.22

Gazde share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals3.19Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 62% · Sub 38%

Orkla0.97

Oaspeți share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 56% · Nu 44%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Melhus

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Orkla

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalOaspeți unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Câștig probability excluding draw
12%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.22
Expected goals
0.97
MelhusOrkla
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Melhus signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Orkla signalOaspeți unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Melhus vs Orkla FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Melhus câștig 73%,Egal 15%,Orkla câștig 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Peste 2.5 62% · Current selection Peste