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PRT Португалия - Лига Сегунда · Матч ·

СК Фаренсе vs Торреенсе

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.84 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев28%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей42%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей42% selection probability
Projected score1–1СК ФаренсеТорреенсе
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше72% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
28% / 30% / 42%Исход матчаПобеда гостей42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes СК Фаренсе win (27.6%)Двойной шансX272.4%1.38
Больше 28% · Меньше 72%Goals 2.5Меньше72%1.39
Да 35% · Нет 65%Обе забьютНет65%1.54
1.84 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapТорреенсе winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
СК Фаренсе win28%3.573.2027.9%+0.1 pp
Ничья30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
Торреенсе win42%2.382.1042.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

СК Фаренсе0.75

Хозяева share of expected goals 40.8%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 28% · Меньше 72%

Торреенсе1.09

Гости share of expected goals 59.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 35% · Нет 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

СК Фаренсе

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Торреенсе

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
42%
8
Points from supplied form
11
0.75
Expected goals
1.09
СК ФаренсеТорреенсе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01СК Фаренсе signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Торреенсе signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

СК Фаренсе vs Торреенсе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

СК Фаренсе выигрыш 28%,Ничья 30%,Торреенсе выигрыш 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · ТБ 2.5 28% · Current selection Меньше