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PRT Portugal - Segunda Liga · Match ·

SC Farense vs Torreense

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.84 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger27%
Oavgjort33%
Bortaseger40%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger40% selection probability
Projected score1–1SC FarenseTorreense
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under72% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
27% / 33% / 40%MatchresultatBortaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SC Farense win (27.1%)DubbelchansX272.9%1.37
Över 28% · Under 72%Goals 2.5Under72%1.39
Ja 35% · Nej 65%Båda lagen gör målNej65%1.54
1.84 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
SC Farense win27%3.70
Oavgjort33%3.03
Torreense win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Farense0.75

Hemma share of expected goals 40.8%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 28% · Under 72%

Torreense1.09

Borta share of expected goals 59.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 35% · Nej 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

SC Farense

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Torreense

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
40%
8
Points from supplied form
11
0.75
Expected goals
1.09
SC FarenseTorreense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Farense signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Torreense signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

SC Farense vs Torreense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Farense vunnen 27%,Oavgjort 33%,Torreense vunnen 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · Över 2.5 28% · Current selection Under