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ROU Румыния - Лига I · Матч ·

Фарул Констанца vs ФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев50%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей21%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Фарул КонстанцаФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше57% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
50% / 28% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук win (21.4%)Двойной шанс1X78.6%1.27
Больше 43% · Меньше 57%Goals 2.5Меньше57%1.75
Да 43% · Нет 57%Обе забьютНет57%1.75
2.41 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Фарул Констанца win50%2.00
Ничья28%3.57
ФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Фарул Констанца1.65

Хозяева share of expected goals 68.5%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 43% · Меньше 57%

ФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук0.76

Гости share of expected goals 31.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 43% · Нет 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Фарул Констанца

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalГости failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.65
Expected goals
0.76
Фарул КонстанцаФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Фарул Констанца signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук signalГости failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Фарул Констанца vs ФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Фарул Констанца выигрыш 50%,Ничья 28%,ФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · ТБ 2.5 43% · Current selection Меньше