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ROU Romania - Liga I · Partita ·

Farul Constanta vs FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.39 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa50%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite21%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Farul ConstantaFK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto57% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
50% / 28% / 21%Esito partitaVittoria casa50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc win (21.4%)Doppia Chance1X78.6%1.27
Sopra 43% · Sotto 57%Goals 2.5Sotto57%1.75
Sì 43% · No 57%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo57%1.75
2.39 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Farul Constanta win50%2.00
Pareggio28%3.57
FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Farul Constanta1.64

Casa share of expected goals 68.6%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 43% · Sotto 57%

FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc0.75

Trasferta share of expected goals 31.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 43% · No 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Farul Constanta

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalTrasferta failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Vinta probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.64
Expected goals
0.75
Farul ConstantaFK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Farul Constanta signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc signalTrasferta failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Farul Constanta vs FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Farul Constanta vinta 50%,Pareggio 28%,FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc vinta 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Sopra 2.5 43% · Current selection Sotto