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DNK Denmark Division 1 · Матч ·

Aarhus Fremad vs ХБ Кёге

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев55%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей21%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Aarhus FremadХБ Кёге
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
55% / 25% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ХБ Кёге win (20.8%)Двойной шанс1X79.2%1.26
Больше 46% · Меньше 54%Goals 2.5Меньше54%1.85
Да 48% · Нет 52%Обе забьютНет52%1.92
2.52 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aarhus Fremad win55%1.821.7054.8%+0.2 pp
Ничья25%4.003.8024.5%+0.5 pp
ХБ Кёге win21%4.764.5020.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aarhus Fremad1.60

Хозяева share of expected goals 63.5%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 46% · Меньше 54%

ХБ Кёге0.92

Гости share of expected goals 36.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Нет 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Aarhus Fremad

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ХБ Кёге

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.60
Expected goals
0.92
Aarhus FremadХБ Кёге
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aarhus Fremad signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ХБ Кёге signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Aarhus Fremad vs ХБ Кёге FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aarhus Fremad выигрыш 55%,Ничья 25%,ХБ Кёге выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · ТБ 2.5 46% · Current selection Меньше