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DNK Denmark Division 1 · Trận đấu ·

Aarhus Fremad vs HB Køge

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng55%
Hòa25%
Đội khách thắng21%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Aarhus FremadHB Køge
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu54% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
55% / 25% / 21%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HB Køge win (20.8%)Cơ hội kép1X79.2%1.26
Tài 46% · Xỉu 54%Goals 2.5Xỉu54%1.85
Có 48% · Không 52%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông52%1.92
2.52 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
9.9 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aarhus Fremad win55%1.821.7054.8%+0.2 pp
Hòa25%4.003.8024.5%+0.5 pp
HB Køge win21%4.764.5020.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aarhus Fremad1.60

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 63.5%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 46% · Xỉu 54%

HB Køge0.92

Khách share of expected goals 36.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · Không 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Aarhus Fremad

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

HB Køge

0.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Điểm3

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Thắng probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.60
Expected goals
0.92
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aarhus Fremad signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HB Køge signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Aarhus Fremad vs HB Køge FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aarhus Fremad thắng 55%,Hòa 25%,HB Køge thắng 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Tài 2.5 46% · Current selection Xỉu