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ENG Англия - Национальная лига · Round 1 ·

Сканторп vs Йовил

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев51%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей22%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев51% selection probability
Projected score2–1СканторпЙовил
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
51% / 27% / 22%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Йовил win (22.2%)Двойной шанс1X77.8%1.29
Больше 51% · Меньше 49%Goals 2.5Больше51%1.96
Да 50% · Нет 50%Обе забьютНет50%2.00
2.72 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Сканторп win51%1.96
Ничья27%3.70
Йовил win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сканторп1.83

Хозяева share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 51% · Меньше 49%

Йовил0.89

Гости share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Нет 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сканторп

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Йовил

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.83
Expected goals
0.89
СканторпЙовил
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сканторп signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Йовил signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Сканторп vs Йовил FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сканторп выигрыш 51%,Ничья 27%,Йовил выигрыш 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · ТБ 2.5 51% · Current selection Больше