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POL Польша - Лига IV · Матч ·

Stomil Olsztyn vs Тецза Бискупиец

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев58%
Ничья21%
Победа гостей21%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Stomil OlsztynТецза Бискупиец
Expected goals3.09Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше60% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
58% / 21% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.6%)Двойной шанс1279.4%1.26
Больше 60% · Меньше 40%Goals 2.5Больше60%1.67
Да 50% · Нет 50%Обе забьютДа50%2.00
3.09 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.6 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapТецза Бискупиец winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stomil Olsztyn win58%1.721.5757.3%+0.7 pp
Ничья21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Тецза Бискупиец win21%4.764.1021.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stomil Olsztyn2.28

Хозяева share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals3.09Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 60% · Меньше 40%

Тецза Бискупиец0.81

Гости share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Нет 50%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Stomil Olsztyn

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Тецза Бискупиец

3.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Баллы15

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
15
2.28
Expected goals
0.81
Stomil OlsztynТецза Бискупиец
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stomil Olsztyn signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Тецза Бискупиец signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Stomil Olsztyn vs Тецза Бискупиец FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stomil Olsztyn выигрыш 58%,Ничья 21%,Тецза Бискупиец выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · ТБ 2.5 60% · Current selection Больше