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POL Pologne - IV Liga · Match ·

Stomil Olsztyn vs Tecza Biskupiec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile58%
Nul21%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Stomil OlsztynTecza Biskupiec
Expected goals3.10Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de60% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
58% / 21% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.6%)Double chance1279.4%1.26
Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%Goals 2.5Plus de60%1.67
Oui 50% · Non 50%Les deux équipes marquentOui50%2.00
3.10 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapTecza Biskupiec winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stomil Olsztyn win58%1.721.5757.3%+0.7 pp
Nul21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Tecza Biskupiec win21%4.764.1021.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stomil Olsztyn2.29

Domicile share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals3.10Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%

Tecza Biskupiec0.81

Extérieur share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 50% · Non 50%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Stomil Olsztyn

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Tecza Biskupiec

3.00pts / match
Joués5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
15
2.29
Expected goals
0.81
Stomil OlsztynTecza Biskupiec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stomil Olsztyn signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tecza Biskupiec signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Stomil Olsztyn vs Tecza Biskupiec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stomil Olsztyn victoire 58%,Nul 21%,Tecza Biskupiec victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Plus de 2.5 60% · Current selection Plus de