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POL Polska - 4. Liga · Mecz ·

Stomil Olsztyn vs Tecza Biskupiec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy58%
Remis21%
Wygrana gości21%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Stomil OlsztynTecza Biskupiec
Expected goals3.09Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej60% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
58% / 21% / 21%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.6%)Podwójna szansa1279.4%1.26
Powyżej 60% · Poniżej 40%Goals 2.5Powyżej60%1.67
Tak 50% · Nie 50%Obie drużyny strzeląTak50%2.00
3.09 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.6 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapTecza Biskupiec winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stomil Olsztyn win58%1.721.5757.3%+0.7 pp
Remis21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Tecza Biskupiec win21%4.764.1021.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stomil Olsztyn2.28

Gospodarze share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals3.09Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 60% · Poniżej 40%

Tecza Biskupiec0.81

Goście share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 50% · Nie 50%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Stomil Olsztyn

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Tecza Biskupiec

3.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkty15

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
15
2.28
Expected goals
0.81
Stomil OlsztynTecza Biskupiec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stomil Olsztyn signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tecza Biskupiec signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Stomil Olsztyn vs Tecza Biskupiec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stomil Olsztyn wygrana 58%,Remis 21%,Tecza Biskupiec wygrana 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Powyżej 2.5 60% · Current selection Powyżej