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LVA Латвия - 1-я Лига · Round 15 ·

ДФК Вентспилс vs СК Супер Нова II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев37%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей38%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей38% selection probability
Projected score1–1ДФК ВентспилсСК Супер Нова II
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше63% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет55% for the selected side
Expected corners11.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
37% / 25% / 38%Исход матчаПобеда гостей38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.2%)Двойной шанс1274.8%1.34
Больше 37% · Меньше 63%Goals 2.5Меньше63%1.59
Да 45% · Нет 55%Обе забьютНет55%1.82
2.19 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
11.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapДФК Вентспилс winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ДФК Вентспилс win37%2.702.3837.6%-0.6 pp
Ничья25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
СК Супер Нова II win38%2.632.3837.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ДФК Вентспилс1.07

Хозяева share of expected goals 48.9%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 37% · Меньше 63%

СК Супер Нова II1.12

Гости share of expected goals 51.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Нет 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ДФК Вентспилс

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

СК Супер Нова II

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
38%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.07
Expected goals
1.12
ДФК ВентспилсСК Супер Нова II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ДФК Вентспилс signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02СК Супер Нова II signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

ДФК Вентспилс vs СК Супер Нова II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ДФК Вентспилс выигрыш 37%,Ничья 25%,СК Супер Нова II выигрыш 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · ТБ 2.5 37% · Current selection Меньше