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LVA Latvia 1. Liga · Round 15 ·

JFK Ventspils vs SK Super Nova II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr37%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr38%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr38% selection probability
Projected score1–1JFK VentspilsSK Super Nova II
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners11.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
37% / 25% / 38%KampresultatUdesejr38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.2%)Dobbeltchance1274.8%1.34
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Begge hold scorerNej55%1.82
2.19 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
11.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapJFK Ventspils winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JFK Ventspils win37%2.702.3837.6%-0.6 pp
Uafgjort25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
SK Super Nova II win38%2.632.3837.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JFK Ventspils1.07

Hjemme share of expected goals 48.9%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%

SK Super Nova II1.12

Ude share of expected goals 51.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

JFK Ventspils

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

SK Super Nova II

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalUde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vundet probability excluding draw
38%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.07
Expected goals
1.12
JFK VentspilsSK Super Nova II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JFK Ventspils signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SK Super Nova II signalUde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

JFK Ventspils vs SK Super Nova II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JFK Ventspils vundet 37%,Uafgjort 25%,SK Super Nova II vundet 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under