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PRT Португалия - Лига Сегунда · Матч ·

ФК Порту Б vs Пенафиел

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев33%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей39%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей39% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФК Порту БПенафиел
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше59% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
33% / 29% / 39%Исход матчаПобеда гостей39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Двойной шанс1271.2%1.40
Больше 41% · Меньше 59%Goals 2.5Меньше59%1.69
Да 47% · Нет 53%Обе забьютНет53%1.89
2.31 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapФК Порту Б winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Порту Б win33%3.032.7532.4%+0.6 pp
Ничья29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
Пенафиел win39%2.562.3038.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Порту Б1.15

Хозяева share of expected goals 49.8%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 41% · Меньше 59%

Пенафиел1.16

Гости share of expected goals 50.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Нет 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Порту Б

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Пенафиел

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
39%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.15
Expected goals
1.16
ФК Порту БПенафиел
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Порту Б signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Пенафиел signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

ФК Порту Б vs Пенафиел FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Порту Б выигрыш 33%,Ничья 29%,Пенафиел выигрыш 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · ТБ 2.5 41% · Current selection Меньше