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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Матч ·

ФК Конту vs МПС

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.81 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев55%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей19%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев55% selection probability
Projected score2–1ФК КонтуМПС
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
55% / 26% / 19%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes МПС win (19.1%)Двойной шанс1X80.9%1.24
Больше 53% · Меньше 47%Goals 2.5Больше53%1.89
Да 48% · Нет 52%Обе забьютНет52%1.92
2.81 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ФК Конту win55%1.82
Ничья26%3.85
МПС win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Конту2.01

Хозяева share of expected goals 71.5%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 53% · Меньше 47%

МПС0.80

Гости share of expected goals 28.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Нет 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Конту

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

МПС

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
3
2.01
Expected goals
0.80
ФК КонтуМПС
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Конту signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02МПС signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ФК Конту vs МПС FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Конту выигрыш 55%,Ничья 26%,МПС выигрыш 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · ТБ 2.5 53% · Current selection Больше